2016 Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll
Trump 45.8% Clinton 42.8%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Daybreak 9/13/16

Millions Of Deplorables Causing Trump Surge In Polls

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has pulled out to a 3-point lead over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton in the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Daybreak tracking poll on Tuesday, September 13, 2016. He now leads Clinton 45.8% to 42.8%, Trump’s largest lead since August 31. Trump’s lead has surged 4.4% in the last two days since September 11.Tuesday’s poll had 2,665 respondents. The result is still within the poll’s margin of error.

Chart Trump Surge In Polls Attributed To Deplorables

Trump’s largest lead in the poll was 7.3 points, recorded on July 28 during the height of the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia. From there, Trump fell steadily for over two weeks, hitting a low of 41.6% as Clinton hit a high of 46.3% on August 14, a 4.7 percent Clinton advantage. The poll results narrowed after that, but the results for the past two days show an unusually large shift in Trump’s direction.

Presidential Election Poll Moved Significantly By Basket of Deplorables

Trump’s improvement in the polling numbers follows a weekend in which Hillary Clinton said that half of Trump’s supporters can be put in a “basket of deplorables,” because they are “racist, sexist, Islamaphobic, xenophobic, ….” while speaking at a progressive fundraiser where the price of dinner was up to $250,000 per plate. Hillary’s progressive supporters at the clambake laughed and cheered energetically as she degraded Trump supporters.
Indications on social media are that there is an enormous wave of backlash against the progressive candidate that doesn’t seem to be diminishing.
The other significant event this weekend was that Hillary Clinton appeared to collapse as she made an unscheduled departure from the 9/11 Memorial in New York City, raising serious concerns about her health.

The USC Dornsife/LA Times Presidential Election “Daybreak” Poll asks more than 400 people each day about their voting intentions. The poll is part of the Understanding America Study (UAS) at the University of Southern California’s Dornsife Center for Economic and Social Research.

Each day’s poll respondents are a subset of the UAS election panel, roughly 3000 US citizens who were randomly recruited from among all households in the United States. Respondents are asked three predictive questions: What is the percent chance that (1) you will vote in the presidential election? (2) you will vote for Clinton, Trump, or someone else? and (3) Clinton, Trump or someone else will win?

Deplorables Causing Trump Surge In Polls

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