|2016 Presidential Election Poll|
|Rasmussen Reports 6/2/16|
Intelligent US Politics June 2, 2016 Presidential Election Poll
Donald Trump and Crooked Hillary Clinton remain tied in Rasmussen Reports’ weekly 2016 Presidential Election Poll for June 2, 2016. Trump is calling for party unity among Republicans and Clinton hasn’t yet been able to finish off the old socialist Bernie Sanders to lock up the Democratic Party nomination.
The latest national telephone and online survey from Rasmussen Reports finds that 39% of likely voters would vote for Clinton if the 2016 presidential election were held today, while 38% would vote for Trump. Eighteen percent (18%) still like some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.
Two weeks ago, in Rasmussen Reports’ first 2016 Presidential Election Poll, Trump held a 42% to 37% lead. Hypothetical matchups between the two likely major party presidential candidates have been in this narrow range since last October.
Trump, who now has enough delegates for a first-ballot win at the Republican convention in July, has 76% GOP support. Clinton has the backing of 68% of Democrats, but 21% of the voters in her party prefer someone else or are undecided as Socialist Bernie Sanders continues his mathematically impossible quest for the Democratic nomination. Democrats are strongly convinced, though, that their party will be unified following its national convention in late July.
Among voters not affiliated with either major political party, Clinton leads 36% to 30%. But one-out-of-three unaffiliated voters (34%) favor another candidate or are undecided.
Even at this early stage of the campaign, there is an unusually high number of voters that Crooked Hillary and Trump have been unable to attract for some reason. This is feeding interest in third-party candidates like former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson, chosen last weekend as the Libertarian Party’s presidential standard-bearer.
Even though the gender card plays a significant role in Clinton’s electoral strategy, she appears to have a bigger problem appealing to men than Trump does appealing to women. Trump leads by 22 points among men, compared to Clinton’s 11 points among women. Those under 40 favor Clinton, while older voters prefer Trump by double-digit margins.
Younger voters traditionally have been a key part of the Democratic base, but right now one-third of those voters like some other candidate or are undecided. Many of these voters are likely to be Bernie Sanders supporters which highlights how important it will be for Clinton to quickly heal her party after she officially wins the nomination.
Clinton is well ahead of Trump among black voters but loses badly to Trump among white voters. Other minority voters are closely divided.
Seventy-seven percent (77%) of voters who Strongly Approve of the job President Obama is doing favor Clinton while eighty-six percent (86%) of those who Strongly Disapprove of the president’s job performance prefer Trump.
Voters see Trump as a stronger military leader than Clinton, but most think they’ll be less safe no matter which of them wins in November.
Voters remain lukewarm about Obama’s national security policies and expect more of the same if Clinton moves back into the White House next January. Trump, if elected, will definitely change things, voters say, but not necessarily for the best.
Trump met last week with House Speaker Paul Ryan, the highest-ranking Republican member of Congress. Ryan has expressed reservations about endorsing Trump, but GOP voters now think their party should be more like Trump than Ryan anyway.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on May 31 to June 1, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.