|Race For The White House|
|Rasmussen Reports 5/19/16|
Presidential Election Poll from Intelligent US Politics
Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has now grown his lead over Democratic front-runner and presumptive nominee Hillary Clinton in Rasmussen Reports’ first weekly White House Watch survey.
In the latest presidential election poll, Donald Trump has opened up a 42% to Clinton’s 37% lead when Likely US Voters are asked whom they would vote for if the presidential election were held today. But Rasmussen Reports’ latest national telephone survey finds that 13% prefer some other candidate, while seven percent (7%) are undecided.
At the beginning of this month, Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee, posted a statistically insignificant 41% to 39% lead over Clinton in the presidential election poll. Fifteen percent (15%) favored someone else, and five percent (5%) were undecided.
Intelligent US Politics will update the Clinton-Trump Presidential Election Poll numbers every Friday from now until Election Day in November.
The latest findings were gathered the night before and the night after Trump’s announcement of 11 conservative judges he would consider for the current vacancy on the US Supreme Court, furthering his efforts to unify the party and end the #NeverTrump movement among some Cuckservatives.
Clinton eked out a primary win in Kentucky by the narrowest of margins but lost the Oregon primary to Bernie Sanders as the race for the Democratic presidential nomination took a more chaotic turn.
Trump now gets 76% of the Republican vote, while Clinton gets 72% of the Democratic vote. Thirteen percent (13%) of Democrats prefer Trump, while nine percent (9%) of Republicans favor Clinton. Among independents (voters who are not affiliated with either major party) Trump leads Clinton 41% to 28%. Thirty-one percent (31%) of independents either like another candidate or are undecided.
Rasmussen Reports has been running hypothetical matchup surveys between Clinton and Trump for several months. Here’s what we’ve found so far.
While there is much talk of a gender gap in this race, Clinton appears to have a bigger problem with men than Trump does with women. Trump leads by 22 points among men, compared to Clinton’s 11-point advantage among women.
Those under 40 favor Clinton, while older voters prefer Trump by double-digit margins.
Younger voters traditionally have been a key part of the Democratic base, but right now one-third of those voters like some other candidate or are undecided. Many of these voters are likely to be Bernie Sanders supporters which highlights how important it will be for Clinton to quickly heal her party after she officially wins the nomination.
Clinton is well ahead of Trump among black voters but loses badly to Trump among white voters. Other minority voters are closely divided.
Seventy-seven percent (77%) of voters who Strongly Approve of the job President Obama is doing favor Clinton while eighty-six percent (86%) of those who Strongly Disapprove of the president’s job performance prefer Trump.
Voters see Trump as a stronger military leader than Clinton, but most think they’ll be less safe no matter which of them wins in November.
Voters remain lukewarm about Obama’s national security policies and expect more of the same if Clinton moves back into the White House next January. Trump, if elected, will definitely change things, voters say, but not necessarily for the best.
Trump met last week with House Speaker Paul Ryan, the highest-ranking Republican member of Congress. Ryan has expressed reservations about endorsing Trump, but GOP voters now think their party should be more like Trump than Ryan anyway.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on May 17-18, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.