|2016 Presidential Election Poll|
|Rasmussen Reports 9/1/16|
Presidential Election Poll September 1, 2016
Presidential Election Poll from Rasmussen Reports for September 1, 2016, puts Donald Trump ahead of Hillary Clinton for the first time since mid-July. The post-convention bounce Hillary enjoyed after the Democratic National Convention, which for a time continued to mount, has been completely eviscerated.
The latest weekly national Presidential Election Poll shows Trump with 40% support to Clinton’s 39% among Likely Voters after Clinton led 42% to 38% just one week ago. That’s a net 5% gain for Trump.
Libertarian Gary Johnson now garners 7% down from 9% the previous two weeks. Green Party candidate Jill Stein picks up 3% support. Undecided voters are running 7% and those who like another candidate get 3%.Support for Hillary Clinton has been eroding from a high of 44% in early August, while she was enjoying a strong bounce after the Democratic National Convention. This week marks her lowest level of support since mid-July. Although Trump has a slight advantage, a one-point lead is statistically insignificant in a survey with a +/- 3 percentage point of margin of error.
Presidential Election Polls Additional Metrics
Much has been made in the media of prominent Republicans who claim they cannot support Trump. Whether they have some disagreement with their personal Gods, some kind of mental impairment, or they’re just stuck on Mitt Romney and his sissy little walk, we’ll never fully know. Regardless of motivation, Hillary Clinton is finding support among 12% of Republicans. This would be devastating were it not for the 15% of Democrats who support Trump. So much for the dishonest mainstream media.
Clinton continues to maintain a lead among voters under 40 and Trump leads Clinton among older voters. Not surprisingly, Trump leads Clinton 44% to 37% among men, while Clinton leads 41% to 36% among women.
Clinton is holding onto a strong lead among blacks and Trump leads by 10 points among whites. Other minority voters prefer Clinton 43% to 35%.
Perhaps the most interesting of all factoids in this week of polling is the difference in the level of anger towards the federal government and its actions. There is a striking difference among each candidate’s supporters with 96% of Trump supporters expressing anger at the government, while only 36% of Clinton supporters say they’re angry. Supporters of Trump really dislike the feds, while voters who support Clinton think they’re great.
Shy Tory Effect Might Be In Play
Some have suggested that Trump has hidden support among voters who are unwilling to say publicly where they stand because they’re fearful of criticism. We won’t know for sure until Election Day, but Republicans are clearly more reluctant than Democrats this year to say how they are going to vote.
The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on August 29 to August 30, 2016, by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.